Jack Conway Barely Ahead in Kentucky

In the race for the next governor of Kentucky, Attorney General Jack Conway (D) is barely ahead of conservative Republican Matt Bevin, 45% to 42%, with 13% of Kentucky voters undecided. This poll confirms bad news for the Jack Conway campaign, who was found to be crushing Matt Bevins in polls earlier in the year. Bevin being only three points down is a political miracle in the blue grass state. During his 2014 GOP U.S Senate primary campaign against Senator Mitch McConnell, Bevin managed to piss off almost every Republican leader in the state and got smashed by McConnell on election night despite McConnell’s personal problems with conservative voters voters in his state. 

Jack Conway leads Bevin 46% to 39% among females voters, a demographic he needs to improve on. Bevin surprisingly doesn’t have a lead among male voters as both candidates are tied with 36%, a stat that Bevin must improve in order to win the governor’s mansion. Among partisan support, Matt Bevin does better courting his fellow Republicans than Jack Conway. Conway has had major issues with liberal voters in the state, who see him as weak on a majority of issues. 

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“Conway polled best among young and older voters, winning the 18-34 age group 42 percent to 36 percent and leading among voters 65 and older 50 percent to 43 percent.
Respondents between the ages of 35 and 49 narrowly prefer Conway 44 percent to 40 percent, while voters between the ages of 50 and 64 slightly prefer Bevin, 47 percent to 45 percent.
On two of the issues that have dominated the campaign so far — the budget and the state’s public pension crisis — both Conway and Bevin are essentially tied.
When 863 registered voters were asked who they think is better qualified to solve problems with Kentucky’s state worker pension systems, Conway narrowly edges out Bevin — 37 percent to 36 percent — despite the latter’s claims to be an expert on the matter. Twenty-seven percent said they were not sure.”