Projections

Governor Projections ~ October 3, 2014

GOVERNOR ELECTION

Current Seats
Republicans – 29
Democrats – 21

Projected Seats
Democrats – 25
Republicans – 24
Independents – 1

Change
Democrats +4
Republicans -5
Independents +1

Party Switch Democrats Gain: Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Maine, Georgia & Florida (6) Republican Gain: Arkansas & Connecticut (2) Independent Gain: Alaska (1)

Race Ratings Key:
1-3% Weak – Super tight race that will go down to the wire and expect lead change.
4-6% Leans – Starting to be a clear leader in race. Lead could expand or shrink.
7-10% Strong – Comfortable lead, race is likely over.
11%-14% Solid – Little chance this race is competitive.
15%+ Safe – Race is over. Would take a political miracle.

State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Iowa
Kansas
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Incumbent
Robert Bentley (R)
Sean Parnell (R)
OPEN
OPEN
Jerry Brown (D)
John Hickenlooper (D)
Dan Malloy (D)
Rick Scott (R)
Nathan Deal (R)
OPEN
Butch Otter (R)
Pat Quinn (D)
Terry Branstad (R)
Sam Brownback (R)
Paul LePage (R)
OPEN
OPEN
Rick Snyder (R)
Mark Dayton (D)
OPEN
Brian Sandoval (R)
Maggie Hassan (D)
Susana Martinez (R)
Andrew Cuomo (D)
John Kasich (R)
Mary Fallin (R)
John Kitzhaber (D)
Tom Corbett (R)
OPEN
Nikki Haley (R)
Dennis Daugaard (R)
Bill Haslam (R)
OPEN
Peter Shumlin (D)
Scott Walker (R)
Matt Mead (R)
Projected Result
Safe Republican
Weak Independent
Weak Republican
Leans Republican
Safe Democrat
Weak Democrat
Leans Republican
Weak Democrat
Weak Democrat
Safe Democrat
Safe Republican
Weak Democrat
Solid Republican
Leans Democrat
Leans Democrat
Leans Democrat
Weak Democrat
Weak Democrat
Strong Democrat
Solid Republican
Safe Republican
Strong Democrat
Solid Republican
Safe Democrat
Safe Republican
Strong Republican
Strong Democrat
Safe Democrat
Strong Democrat
Solid Republican
Safe Republican
Safe Republican
Solid Republican
Safe Democrat
Weak Republican
Safe Republican
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