Politics On The Fly

Politics On The Fly ~ September 17, 2014

Good Afternoon Everybody!!!


POLLS, POLLS, POLLS!

U.S Senate:

Alaska: Sen. Begich (D) 41%, Dan Sullivan (R) 36% (Hays Research)
Kansas: Chad Taylor (D) 6%, Sen. Pat Roberts (R) 34%, Greg Orman (I) 41% (PPP)
North Carolina: Sen. Kay Hagan (D) 44%, Thom Tillis (R) 40% (PPP)
New Hampshire: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%, Scott Brown (R) 45% (ARG)
Iowa: Joni Ernst (R) 50%, Bruce Braley (D) 44% (Quinnipiac poll)

Governor:

Colorado: Bob Beauprez (R) 50%, Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) 40% (Quinnipiac poll)
Massachusetts: Martha Coakley (D) 41%, Charlie Baker (R) 34% (Boston)
Florida: Gov. Rick Scott (R) 44%, Charlie Crist (D) 39% (SurveyUSA)

Kansas Supreme Court: Yesterday, the Kansas Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the case of former Democratic U.S Senate candidate Chad Taylor. The issue stems from Kansas secretary of state, Kris Kobach (R), refused to remove him from the ballot even though he had complied with the rules and did everything he needed to do in order to remove himself from the ballot. Expect a ruling on if he stays or goes off the ballot very quick (maybe by the end of today) because Kansas will start printing ballots this Friday.

Even if Taylor would stay on the ballot there is no guarantee it would help Senator Pat Roberts sneak in for another term, he is currently losing in a three way battle and Orman, the independent candidate, has ran a stellar campaign so far and is very likable. The problem for Senator Roberts is that he isn’t well liked in Kansas and most Democrats have already moved their support to Orman and you have to question the 6% of voters that doesn’t know Taylor dropped out even though it has been national news (seriously, what else goes on in Kansas that wouldn’t make this front page news for awhile?). They likely are not that politically active and these are soft votes and most won’t probably show up come election day. The ones that do will likely know that Taylor has dropped out. Senator Roberts hoping that voter stupidity will split the vote between Taylor and Orman just goes to show you how deeply in trouble Senator Roberts is in a deep deep red state like Kansas.

Campaign Ads: NationalJournal is out with a new article that shouldn’t shock anyone, the campaign ads so far aired have made history for being the most negative ads ever in an election cycle and we haven’t even made it to October yet!!

Scotland: Reuters is reporting that Scottish opponents of independence has a slight lead as the vote draws near.

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Categories: Politics On The Fly